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Draft Round Values

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The draft round value system is a mathematical theory assigning draft choices of a particular round in a fantasy baseball League a designated value. The idea is a prime example of Sabermetrics, a term coined by Baseball Analyst Bill James describing the analysis of Baseball through objective evidence.[1] The DRV System can be used when balancing the values of multiple players to be traded for each other, a method that is very similar to the draft pick value chart that General Managers of professional sports use.[2] It also can be implemented as a system for a Fantasy sports League that retains players from year to year and requires a coinciding draft round from the previous year to be conceded in exchange for the player to be kept in the upcoming season.

Contents

Draft Round Values or DRV#

Draft Round Value Formula:

DRV = (1 + Total # of Rounds in Draft – Round #)2

*All Table Values Based on 21 Round Draft

Round # Individual Player DRV Round # Individual Player DRV Round # Individual Player DRV
1 441 8 196 15 49
2 400 9 169 16 36
3 361 10 144 17 25
4 324 11 121 18 16
5 289 12 100 19 9
6 256 13 81 20 4
7 225 14 64 21 1
  • Every player drafted is assigned a value based on the round that they are selected in; this is their DRV or Draft Round Value. The above table provides these values based on a 21 round draft. Multiple players from the same round are assigned a group value provided in the table below. These values are determined by taking the number of players kept from the same round multiplied by the draft round value listed above.

Multiple Player Draft Round Value or DRVT

*Draft Round Value multiplied by # of players from same round

Round # 2 Players DRV 3 Players DRV 4 Players DRV 5 Players DRV
1 882 1323 1746 2205
2 800 1200 1600 2000
3 722 1083 1444 1805
4 648 972 1296 1620
5 578 867 1156 1445
6 512 768 1024 1280
7 450 675 900 1125
8 392 588 784 980
9 338 507 676 845
10 288 432 576 720
11 242 363 484 605
12 200 300 400 500
13 162 243 324 405
14 128 192 256 320
15 98 147 196 245
16 72 108 144 180
17 50 75 100 125
18 32 48 64 80
19 18 27 36 45
20 8 12 16 20
21 2 3 4 5

DRV System as Applied to Players Kept from One Season to the Next

  • Within a Fantasy Sports Keeper League, the system in place calls for a manager to concede a draft round for the upcoming year when they elect to keep a player from the last season. Typically the draft round conceded is the same one that the player was selected in the prior season. Up to 5 players are usually permitted to be held on to that finished a season on a specific managers team.[3]
  • The DRV System can be put in place to account for 2 or more players kept from one season to the next that were drafted in the same round the previous year.
  • Although keeping 4 or 5 players from the same round would be an extremely rare occurrence, their values are provided in the tables to assist in broadening the general concept of the DRV system.
  • The fundamental logic behind this system is that the total DRV of any 2, 3, 4, or 5 players, who are drafted in the same round, can be met by adding the individual DRVs of rounds with differing values.
  • A few rules that must be followed when adding the individual DRVs of differing values to equal the multiple player DRV are:

1. The first individual DRV1 must be the round consisting of the multiple players to be kept unless the total players equals an even number (2 or 4) in which case the rounds immediately before and after shall be used if available.

2. The second individual DRV2 must be either the round before or the round after the first individual DRV1, whichever the manager prefers. (*The equation is true if the first and second individual DRV1+2 add up to a value equal to or greater than the multiple player DRVT in the table, if not go to rule 3)

3. The third individual DRV3 can be one of three options: as with rule 2 it can be the round before the first individual DRV1, the round after the first individual DRV1, or use of a Busch League Draft Pick (BLDP).

*A BLDP is a free agent player selected by the commissioner who has a player ranking greater than the highest expected draft (last round, last player) and would almost certainly not be drafted otherwise, in a 10 team 21 round draft this player would have to have a ranking of 211 or greater and must be owned in less than 10% of leagues. This player’s role is to fill an individual DRV that results when there are more rounds conceded than players kept. The round where the BLDP is drafted is dependent upon the individual DRV needed to at least equal the total multiple player DRV when adding it to the first and second individual DRVs.

(*A DRV4, DRV5, and DRV6 can be added as necessary until the equation is true, the BLDP shall always be the last value if use of it is needed)

4. The number of rounds conceded must be at least equal to and can never exceed the number of players kept by more than one. (ex. 2 players = 2 or 3 rounds, 3 players = 3 or 4 rounds, 4 players = 4 or 5 rounds, and 5 players = 5 or 6 rounds)

Formula for Draft Rounds Conceded with Multiple Players Kept from same Round:

DRVT < DRV1 + DRV2 + DRV3 + etc...

Draft Rounds to be Conceded Based on the DRV System for Players Kept

(An * signifies a Busch League draft pick round)

Round# 2 players kept same round 3 players kept same round 4 players kept same round 5 players kept same round
1 1,2,15* 1,2,3,11* 1,2,3,4,7* not possible
2 1,3 or 2,3,15* 1,2,3 1,2,3,4,13* 1,2,3,4,5,8*
3 2,4 or 3,4,15* 2,3,4 1,2,4,5 1,2,3,4,5
4 3,5 or 4,5,16* 3,4,5 2,3,5,6 2,3,4,5,6
5 4,6 or 5,6,16* 4,5,6 3,4,6,7 3,4,5,6,7
6 5,7 or 6,7,16* 5,6,7 4,5,7,8 4,5,6,7,8
7 6,8 or 7,8,16* 6,7,8 5,6,8,9 5,6,7,8,9
8 7,9 or 8,9,16* 7,8,9 6,7,9,10 6,7,8,9,10
9 8,10 or 9,10,17* 8,9,10 7,8,10,11 7,8,9,10,11
10 9,11 or 10,11,17* 9,10,11 8,9,11,12 8,9,10,11,12
11 10,12 or 11,12,17* 10,11,12 9,10,12,13 9,10,11,12,13
12 11,13 or 12,13,17* 11,12,13 10,11,13,14 10,11,12,13,14
13 12,14 or 13,14,17* 12,13,14 11,12,14,15 11,12,13,14,15
14 13,15 or 14,15,18* 13,14,15 12,13,15,16 12,13,14,15,16
15 14,16 or 15,16,18* 14,15,16 13,14,16,17 13,14,15,16,17
16 15,17 or 16,17,18* 15,16,17 14,15,17,18 14,15,16,17,18
17 16,18 or 17,18,19* 16,17,18 15,16,18,19 15,16,17,18,19
18 17,19 17,18,19 16,17,19,20 16,17,18,19,20
19 18,20 18,19,20 17,18,20,21 17,18,19,20,21
20 19,21 19,20,21 18,19,20,21 17,18,19,20,21
21 20,21 19,20,21 18,19,20,21 17,18,19,20,21

References

  1. ↑ "Introduction to Sabermetrics". BGSU. http://www-math.bgsu.edu/~albert/papers/saber.html. Retrieved 2010-01-11. 
  2. ↑ "NFL draft-pick value chart". ESPN. March 1, 2004. http://sports.espn.go.com/nfl/draft06/news/story?id=2410670. Retrieved 2010-01-11. 
  3. ↑ "FLB Rules- Keeper Leagues". ESPN. 2009. http://games.espn.go.com/flb/content?page=flbrulesleaguetypes2009. Retrieved 2010-01-11. 

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